Unit 41 bull elk, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
214 adult residents put this hunt first; 213 drew (100%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 177 of 178 applicants with 0 drew.
Any points drew
383 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 268 drew (70%). Drawn out at 0 preference points: 78 of 185 applicants with 0 drew. 96% of applicants with more points drew.
Any points drew
Compare every Colorado elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 1 | 18 | 18 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 0 | 178 | 177 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| All | 214 | 213 | 1 in 1.0 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 8 | 7 | 1 in 1.1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 12 | 12 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 34 | 32 | 1 in 1.1 | |
| 1 | 130 | 125 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 0 | 185 | 78 | 1 in 2.4 | |
| All | 383 | 268 | 1 in 1.4 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 219 | 219 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 233 | 230 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 214 | 213 | 1 in 1.0 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 357 | 262 | 1 in 1.4 | 0 |
| 2025 | 391 | 249 | 1 in 1.6 | 0 |
| 2026 | 383 | 268 | 1 in 1.4 | 0 |
Drawn out at: 0 in 2024, 0 in 2025, 0 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 0 points. Applicants rose 7% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 41
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM041O1R · 285 applicants
- Bull elk, 4th rifle season EM041O4R · 58 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF041O1M · 79 applicants
- Cow elk, 1st rifle season EF041O1R · 152 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF041O2R · 40 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF041O3R · 52 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF041O4R · 17 applicants
- Cow elk, private land only, season 5, rifle EF041P5R · 88 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE041O1A · 215 applicants
- Either-sex elk, private land only, season 1, archery EE041P1A · 10 applicants
- Either-sex elk, private land only, season 1, rifle EE041P1R · 43 applicants
- Either-sex elk, private land only, season 4, rifle EE041P4R · 43 applicants