Unit 69 bull elk, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
176 adult residents put this hunt first; 32 drew (18%). Drawn out at 5 preference points: 17 of 31 applicants with 5 drew. 88% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 5 points
49 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 11 drew (22%). Drawn out at 10 preference points: 2 of 4 applicants with 10 drew.
Drawn out at 10 points
Compare every Colorado elk hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| 5 | 31 | 17 | 1 in 1.8 | |
| 4 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 16 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 26 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 33 | 0 | — | |
| All | 176 | 32 | 1 in 5.5 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| All | 49 | 11 | 1 in 4.5 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 135 | 32 | 1 in 4.2 | 4 |
| 2025 | 191 | 33 | 1 in 5.8 | 5 |
| 2026 | 176 | 32 | 1 in 5.5 | 5 |
Drawn out at: 4 in 2024, 5 in 2025, 5 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 6 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants rose 30% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58 | 11 | 1 in 5.3 | 9 |
| 2025 | 75 | 11 | 1 in 6.8 | 15 |
| 2026 | 49 | 11 | 1 in 4.5 | 10 |
Drawn out at: 9 in 2024, 15 in 2025, 10 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 10 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants fell 16% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 69
- Bull elk, 1st rifle season EM069O1R · 376 applicants
- Bull elk, 2nd rifle season EM069O2R · 209 applicants
- Bull elk, 3rd rifle season EM069O3R · 178 applicants
- Bull elk, 4th rifle season EM069O4R · 98 applicants
- Cow elk, muzzleloader season EF069O1M · 23 applicants
- Cow elk, 2nd rifle season EF069O2R · 98 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF069O3R · 59 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF069O4R · 21 applicants
- Cow elk, private land only, season 5, rifle EF069P5R · 238 applicants
- Either-sex elk, archery season EE069O1A · 428 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM069O1M · 202 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM069O2R · 686 applicants