Unit 6 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
474 adult residents put this hunt first; 11 drew (2.3%). Drawn out at 21 preference points: 1 of 3 applicants with 21 drew. 80% of applicants with more points drew. 2 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about <1% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 21 points
134 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 2 drew (1.5%). Drawn out at 27 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 27 drew. 1 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 1.3% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 27 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 in 1.5 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 16 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 13 | 15 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 14 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 11 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 23 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 34 | 2 | 1 in 17.0 | |
| 7 | 21 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 49 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 32 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 40 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 41 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 43 | 0 | — | |
| All | 474 | 11 | 1 in 43.1 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 24 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 23 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 22 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 21 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 20 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 19 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 13 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 14 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 14 | 0 | — | |
| All | 134 | 2 | 1 in 67.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 281 | 10 | 1 in 28.1 | 19 |
| 2025 | 335 | 11 | 1 in 30.5 | 20 |
| 2026 | 474 | 11 | 1 in 43.1 | 21 |
Drawn out at: 19 in 2024, 20 in 2025, 21 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 69% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 133 | 2 | 1 in 66.5 | 30 |
| 2025 | 120 | 2 | 1 in 60.0 | 26 |
| 2026 | 134 | 2 | 1 in 67.0 | 27 |
Drawn out at: 30 in 2024, 26 in 2025, 27 in 2026. The bar has been falling.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. This hunt also has a hybrid draw: up to 20% of licenses go at random to applicants with 5 or more points who fall below the cutoff. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 6
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM006O1A · 300 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM006O1M · 224 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, archery season AF006O1A · 13 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF006O1M · 91 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF006O1R · 95 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 2nd rifle season AF006O2R · 340 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle AF006W1R · 58 applicants
- Either-sex pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 1, rifle AE006W1R · 141 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM006E1R · 50 applicants
- Buck deer, early season, rifle DM006E2R · 72 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM006O1M · 157 applicants
- Buck deer, 1st rifle season DM006O1R · 95 applicants