Unit 15 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
40 adult residents put this hunt first; 7 drew (18%). Drawn out at 5 preference points: 1 of 2 applicants with 5 drew.
Drawn out at 5 points
5 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 1 drew (20%). Drawn out at 6 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 6 drew.
Drawn out at 6 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| All | 40 | 7 | 1 in 5.7 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| All | 5 | 1 | 1 in 5.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36 | 6 | 1 in 6.0 | 3 |
| 2025 | 52 | 6 | 1 in 8.7 | 4 |
| 2026 | 40 | 7 | 1 in 5.7 | 5 |
Drawn out at: 3 in 2024, 4 in 2025, 5 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 11% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11 | 2 | 1 in 5.5 | 5 |
| 2025 | 7 | 2 | 1 in 3.5 | 10 |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 1 in 5.0 | 6 |
Drawn out at: 5 in 2024, 10 in 2025, 6 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 6 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants fell 55% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 15
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM015O1M · 5 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF015O1R · 16 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AF015P5R · 7 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM015O1M · 47 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM015O2R · 204 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM015O3R · 202 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM015O4R · 47 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF015O1M · 25 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF015O2R · 172 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF015O3R · 75 applicants
- Either-sex deer, archery season DE015O1A · 114 applicants
- Either-sex deer, private land only, season 2, rifle DE015P2R · 11 applicants