Unit 95 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
170 adult residents put this hunt first; 18 drew (11%). Drawn out at 6 preference points: 7 of 20 applicants with 6 drew.
Drawn out at 6 points
17 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 2 drew (12%). Drawn out at 15 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 15 drew. 1 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 25% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 15 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 20 | 7 | 1 in 2.9 | |
| 5 | 24 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 27 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 17 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 29 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 23 | 0 | — | |
| All | 170 | 18 | 1 in 9.4 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| All | 17 | 2 | 1 in 8.5 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 139 | 11 | 1 in 12.6 | 5 |
| 2025 | 161 | 9 | 1 in 17.9 | 6 |
| 2026 | 170 | 18 | 1 in 9.4 | 6 |
Drawn out at: 5 in 2024, 6 in 2025, 6 in 2026. If that trend holds, expect about 6 points to be needed in 2027. Applicants rose 22% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11 | 1 | 1 in 11.0 | 6 |
| 2025 | 18 | 3 | 1 in 6.0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 17 | 2 | 1 in 8.5 | 15 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 6 in 2025, 15 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 55% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 95
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF095O1R · 30 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AF095P5R · 27 applicants
- Buck deer, late season, rifle DM095L1R · 57 applicants
- Buck deer, 1st rifle season DM095O1R · 51 applicants
- Doe deer, late season, rifle DF095L1R · 7 applicants
- Doe deer, 1st rifle season DF095O1R · 10 applicants