HuntDrawOdds

Utah › Elk › Beaver, East › EB3158

Beaver, East limited-entry bull elk, late season, archery

Hunt EB31582025 draw results Utah report page 337✓ Rows match the report's totals

How many bonus points it took to draw this hunt in 2025, and your estimated chance at every point level.

Residents
88
applicants
12
permits
7
applicants per permit

88 residents applied for 12 permits (1 in 7.3 overall). Everyone with 10 or more points drew. The other 6 permits were drawn at random: an estimated 1.6% chance at 0 points, rising to 14% at 8 points.

Sure draw at 10+ points

Nonresidents
47
applicants
2
permits
24
applicants per permit

47 nonresidents applied for 2 permits (1 in 23.5 overall). Everyone with 17 or more points drew. The one remaining permit was drawn at random: an estimated 0.36% chance at 0 points, rising to 4.3% at 11 points.

Sure draw at 17+ points

Compare every elk hunt at your point level →

Odds by bonus points

Residents

Bonus pointsApplicantsDrewActual oddsEstimated chance
20111 in 1.0
100%
12111 in 1.0
100%
11111 in 1.0
100%
10331 in 1.0
100%
840—
14%
7100—
13%
660—
11%
51311 in 13.0
9.4%
41121 in 5.5
7.9%
31021 in 5.0
6.3%
2811 in 8.0
4.7%
160—
3.1%
0140—
1.6%
All88121 in 7.3

Nonresidents

Bonus pointsApplicantsDrewActual oddsEstimated chance
17111 in 1.0
100%
1120—
4.3%
10411 in 4.0
3.9%
930—
3.6%
830—
3.2%
730—
2.8%
670—
2.5%
540—
2.1%
450—
1.8%
320—
1.4%
240—
1.1%
150—
0.71%
040—
0.36%
All4721 in 23.5
Drew through the bonus pool (everyone at this level)Random draw

Trends, 2023–2025

"Sure at" is the fewest bonus points where every applicant drew through the bonus pool that year.

Residents
YearApplicantsPermitsOddsSure at
20231941 in 4.86
20243091 in 3.36
202588121 in 7.310

Points for a sure draw: 6 in 2023, 6 in 2024, 10 in 2025. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants rose 363% since 2023.

Nonresidents
YearApplicantsPermitsOddsSure at
20232211 in 22.0—
20241611 in 16.0—
20254721 in 23.517

Applicants rose 114% since 2023.

How this draw works

Utah reserves half of each hunt's permits for the applicants with the most bonus points. The rest are drawn at random from everyone left, and each bonus point gives you one extra random number; your best number is the one used. Drawing a permit resets your points for that species to zero. Utah DWR's explanation.

About the estimated chance. Actual odds at a single point level jump around because only a few permits are drawn at random. The estimate applies the draw's own rules to this year's applicant pool. Across all 2025 Utah hunts, it predicts the number of permits drawn at each point range to within about 1%. Applicant numbers change every year, so treat it as a guide. How we check and estimate.

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