Unit 30 buck deer, 4th rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
75 adult residents put this hunt first; 16 drew (21%). Drawn out at 5 preference points: 4 of 5 applicants with 5 drew. 92% of applicants with more points drew.
Drawn out at 5 points
35 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 5 drew (14%). Drawn out at 19 preference points: 1 of 2 applicants with 19 drew. 1 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 5.3% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 19 points
Compare every Colorado deer hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 8 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 in 1.3 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 13 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 13 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 13 | 0 | — | |
| All | 75 | 16 | 1 in 4.7 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 in 2.0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| All | 35 | 5 | 1 in 7.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56 | 10 | 1 in 5.6 | 6 |
| 2025 | 84 | 12 | 1 in 7.0 | 5 |
| 2026 | 75 | 16 | 1 in 4.7 | 5 |
Drawn out at: 6 in 2024, 5 in 2025, 5 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 34% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | 3 | 1 in 8.7 | 26 |
| 2025 | 31 | 4 | 1 in 7.8 | 17 |
| 2026 | 35 | 5 | 1 in 7.0 | 19 |
Drawn out at: 26 in 2024, 17 in 2025, 19 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 35% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 30
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- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM030O3R · 112 applicants
- Doe deer, 2nd rifle season DF030O2R · 23 applicants
- Doe deer, 3rd rifle season DF030O3R · 22 applicants
- Either-sex deer, private land only, season 5, archery DE030P5A · 7 applicants
- Cow elk, late season, rifle EF030L1R · 178 applicants
- Cow elk, 3rd rifle season EF030O3R · 48 applicants
- Cow elk, 4th rifle season EF030O4R · 13 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season AM030O1R · 472 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, private land only, season 5, rifle AM030P5R · 8 applicants
- Either-sex pronghorn, archery season AE030O1A · 79 applicants