Unit 102 buck deer, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
38 adult residents put this hunt first; 6 drew (16%). Drawn out at 14 preference points: 1 of 1 applicants with 14 drew. 5 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 100% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 14 points
4 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 2 drew (50%). Drawn out at 4 preference points: 2 of 2 applicants with 4 drew.
Drawn out at 4 points
Compare every Colorado deer hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 15 | 0 | — | |
| All | 38 | 6 | 1 in 6.3 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| All | 4 | 2 | 1 in 2.0 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 1 in 3.7 | 3 |
| 2025 | 33 | 6 | 1 in 5.5 | 3 |
| 2026 | 38 | 6 | 1 in 6.3 | 14 |
Drawn out at: 3 in 2024, 3 in 2025, 14 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants fell 7% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 1 in 10.0 | 1 |
| 2025 | 15 | 2 | 1 in 7.5 | 4 |
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 1 in 2.0 | 4 |
Drawn out at: 1 in 2024, 4 in 2025, 4 in 2026. The bar is rising at least one point a year, as fast as applicants earn points. Applicants fell 60% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 25% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 102
- Buck deer, late season, rifle DM102L1R · 31 applicants
- Buck deer, private land only, season 1, rifle DM102P1R · 19 applicants
- Buck deer, private land only, season 5, rifle DM102P5R · 31 applicants
- Doe deer, 1st rifle season DF102O1R · 8 applicants
- Doe deer, private land only, season 1, rifle DF102P1R · 5 applicants
- Doe deer, private land only, season 5, rifle DF102P5R · 6 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season AM102O1R · 43 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF102O1R · 8 applicants