Unit 11 buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
36 adult residents put this hunt first; 5 drew (14%). Drawn out at 9 preference points: 4 of 4 applicants with 9 drew.
Drawn out at 9 points
11 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 0 drew (0%). None drew.
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 8 | 3 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 5 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| All | 36 | 5 | 1 in 7.2 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| All | 11 | 0 | — |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | 5 | 1 in 5.6 | 13 |
| 2025 | 22 | 4 | 1 in 5.5 | 8 |
| 2026 | 36 | 5 | 1 in 7.2 | 9 |
Drawn out at: 13 in 2024, 8 in 2025, 9 in 2026. The bar has been falling. Applicants rose 29% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 0 | — | — |
| 2025 | 11 | 1 | 1 in 11.0 | 9 |
| 2026 | 11 | 0 | — | — |
Applicants fell 45% since 2024.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 11
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM011O1A · 30 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season AM011O1R · 336 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 2, rifle AM011W2R · 23 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, archery season AF011O1A · 12 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF011O1M · 12 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF011O1R · 83 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 2, rifle AF011W2R · 22 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM011O1M · 79 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM011O2R · 218 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM011O3R · 406 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM011O4R · 86 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF011O1M · 14 applicants