Unit 11 buck pronghorn, 1st rifle season
How many preference points it took to draw this hunt in 2026, and your estimated chance at every point level.
336 adult residents put this hunt first; 20 drew (6.0%). Drawn out at 17 preference points: 5 of 6 applicants with 17 drew. 4 drew below the cutoff, through the hybrid random draw (about 2.2% of eligible applicants with 5+ points).
Drawn out at 17 points
99 adult nonresidents put this hunt first; 4 drew (4.0%). Drawn out at 19 preference points: 1 of 3 applicants with 19 drew.
Drawn out at 19 points
Compare every Colorado pronghorn hunt at your point level →
Odds by preference points
Residents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 in 1.2 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 15 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 in 3.7 | |
| 13 | 13 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 19 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 11 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 25 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 24 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 22 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 32 | 1 | 1 in 32.0 | |
| 4 | 22 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 23 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 18 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 32 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 38 | 0 | — | |
| All | 336 | 20 | 1 in 16.8 |
Nonresidents
| Preference points | Applicants | Drew | Actual odds | Estimated chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 in 1.0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 in 3.0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 17 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | — | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | — | |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | — | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 7 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 6 | 6 | 0 | — | |
| 5 | 12 | 0 | — | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| 1 | 7 | 0 | — | |
| 0 | 10 | 0 | — | |
| All | 99 | 4 | 1 in 24.8 |
Trends, 2024–2026
"Cutoff" is the preference point level where licenses ran out that year (CPW's "drawn out at" level).
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 281 | 7 | 1 in 40.1 | 17 |
| 2025 | 343 | 13 | 1 in 26.4 | 17 |
| 2026 | 336 | 20 | 1 in 16.8 | 17 |
Drawn out at: 17 in 2024, 17 in 2025, 17 in 2026. The bar has held steady at about 17 points. Applicants rose 20% since 2024.
| Year | Applicants | Drew | Odds | Cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 97 | 1 | 1 in 97.0 | 22 |
| 2025 | 99 | 3 | 1 in 33.0 | 28 |
| 2026 | 99 | 4 | 1 in 24.8 | 19 |
Drawn out at: 22 in 2024, 28 in 2025, 19 in 2026. The bar has been falling.
How this draw works
Colorado draws limited licenses by preference points, and only your first choice uses them. Licenses go to the applicants with the most points first; at the level where they run out (the "drawn out at" level) applicants are drawn at random. If you don't draw your first choice, you gain a point. This hunt also has a hybrid draw: up to 20% of licenses go at random to applicants with 5 or more points who fall below the cutoff. Nonresidents could get at most 20% of this hunt's licenses. CPW big game hunting.
About the numbers. These are adult first-choice applicants, straight from CPW's 2026 draw recap. Youth and landowner licenses are drawn separately. The estimated chance is the share who actually drew at each point level, filled in from the cutoff where nobody held that many points. Applicant pools change every year. How we check and estimate.
Other hunts in Unit 11
- Buck pronghorn, archery season AM011O1A · 30 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, muzzleloader season AM011O1M · 36 applicants
- Buck pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 2, rifle AM011W2R · 23 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, archery season AF011O1A · 12 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, muzzleloader season AF011O1M · 12 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, 1st rifle season AF011O1R · 83 applicants
- Doe pronghorn, Ranching for Wildlife, season 2, rifle AF011W2R · 22 applicants
- Buck deer, muzzleloader season DM011O1M · 79 applicants
- Buck deer, 2nd rifle season DM011O2R · 218 applicants
- Buck deer, 3rd rifle season DM011O3R · 406 applicants
- Buck deer, 4th rifle season DM011O4R · 86 applicants
- Doe deer, muzzleloader season DF011O1M · 14 applicants